Catalog / Geopolitics & Conflict / Data feed
Geopolitics & Conflict · daily ban:high tC

Taiwan Strait commercial flight route deviation count

count of commercial flights taking longer routes to avoid PLA exercise zones announced via NOTAM

Feed detail
Measures
count of commercial flights taking longer routes to avoid PLA exercise zones announced via NOTAM
Source
Flightradar24 flight-path data cross-referenced with Taiwan MND exercise NOTAMs
Access
scrape-hostile
Cadence
dailyupdates once a day
Thesis
Airline routing decisions reveal real-time private assessment of exercise danger zones, ahead of full media coverage
Maps to
Taiwan/China regional airline costs, Taiwan risk premium
Crowdedness
contested
Tier
tC
Ban-risk
ban:high
Where this stands

This is a catalogued data feed with a research idea attached, not a validated edge. Being listed here means it has a specific source and a one-sentence causal mechanism mapped to what it should move — it doesn’t mean it has cleared the five-stage validation gate (point-in-time hygiene, out-of-sample holdout, multiple-testing correction, and the portfolio-layer backstop). As of today, every score on this site is prior-only; zero signals in the catalog have been promoted to “measured” status. See the methodology page for the full validation process and current counts.

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