Catalog / Weather & Climate Disaster / Data feed
Weather & Climate Disaster · intraday ban:low tA

European Ensemble (ECMWF) vs GFS Model Run Divergence on Hurricane Track

Track/intensity divergence (nm) between ECMWF and GFS 240hr forecast for named storms threatening refining/LNG hubs

Feed detail
Measures
Track/intensity divergence (nm) between ECMWF and GFS 240hr forecast for named storms threatening refining/LNG hubs
Source
tropicaltidbits.com model archive + NOAA NOMADS GRIB feeds (nomads.ncep.noaa.gov)
Access
http
Cadence
intradayupdates multiple times a day
Thesis
Model consensus/divergence on Houston Ship Channel or Sabine Pass LNG landfall risk is a leading indicator options traders price before spot markets react
Maps to
RBOB gasoline, Henry Hub, LNG freight (Baltic LNG)
Crowdedness
contested
Tier
tA
Ban-risk
ban:low
Where this stands

This is a catalogued data feed with a research idea attached, not a validated edge. Being listed here means it has a specific source and a one-sentence causal mechanism mapped to what it should move — it doesn’t mean it has cleared the five-stage validation gate (point-in-time hygiene, out-of-sample holdout, multiple-testing correction, and the portfolio-layer backstop). As of today, every score on this site is prior-only; zero signals in the catalog have been promoted to “measured” status. See the methodology page for the full validation process and current counts.

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